Moore: Loved the lobbying Alec Baldwin was doing for his performance in The Cooler the other week. The nominee I like best doesn't have a chance: Samantha Morton, for her subtle, astonishingly unsentimental performance in In America. And, yes, her only serious competition is sentimental favorite Keaton. My prediction is Theron, a beauty who manages to look truly hideous and to behave even worse. And, let's face it, Robert De Niro got his for gaining weight in Raging Bull. Nicole Kidman won her Oscar for The Hours by a nose. I think she will win, and I think she deserves to.īoyar: One of the firmest of Oscar rules is never bet against an actor or actress whose role involves a major physical transformation. She may never be this good again, but there isn't another female lead from this past year who can touch her. This is a dazzling transformation, and it's a lot more than just fake teeth, bad hair and makeup. She's delightful in Something's Gotta Give and struck a blow for older actresses.īut Monster's Charlize Theron is still considered the favorite. Moore: If the academy is as aged as the old myth holds, Diane Keaton is a shoo-in.